Mr. Harper Won’t Be Forming Government
There is less chance Mr. Harper will form even a minority government than there was Tim Hudak would in Ontario. The Harper Government’s heavy handed governance in combination with the proliferation of scandals has seen to that. Even with the media soft pedalling the worst of it, even remaining Conservative supporters have an inkling.
The Harper Government has angered Canadians, including many of their own supporters across the board (from Rex Murphy to veterans). I could make a long list, but the internet is awash in such things.
There is no doubt in my mind we will have a new government tomorrow.
The only real question is: who will form government?
The polls tell us the three biggest parties are neck in neck in neck, but as the election approaches, they all favor Mr. Trudeau. Is this surprising? Not when you consider the upholders of the status quo … the corporatocracy, multinationals, the elite, the rich, the 1% … whoever they are — will only support the two parties that can be trusted to uphold the status quo. In other words, the Conservative and Liberal parties.
When every Canadian on the street knows we are going to heave steve and stop harper, the two media giants that control the mainstream media have come out in favor of the Conservative Government. Even they say we should Heave Steve… but keep his government. Seriously.
The “political class” on the other hand, much prefer Liberal status quo defenders. They want to return to the Liberal glory days, and hope to re-establish the supremacy of the Liberal brand through the installation of Canada’s answer to George W. Bush, our own second generation political royalty, Justin Trudeau. Never mind that Justin Trudeau had no track record at all before being anointed. Before he became Party leader, his only claim to fame was his name. Whenever the media needed a mild mannered soundbite, they would go to the non-threatening MP who happened to be the son of Pierre Trudeau. And while it is true Mr. Trudeau has knuckled down and shown his commitment to getting the job throughout the campaign, he has made some serious errors, the most egregious being his steadfast support for Bill C-51, a law that makes a mockery of the Canadian Charter of Rights and Freedoms. When you consider the Charter is probably the single most important thing the Liberal Party has ever done for Canada — the thing every Liberal could point to with pride — it is unsurprising so many life long Liberals chopped up their cards and abandoned ship.
The NDP will scrap the so-called Anti-Terror law (formerly known as Bill C-51) and restore the Charter. The NDP has also firmly committed to Proportional Representation. These two things are essential if Canada is to have any hope of being a free country. Don’t vote for anyone who will not commit to both of these.
Not taxing big business and the rich has certainly contributed to the fact Canada is the only OECD country still in a recession. (Mainstream media propaganda has tried to foster the idea this is the second recession on Harper’s watch, but the reality is that we never really got out of the first one.)
What has become apparent to those of us online is that most of the Liberal policies effectively continue the Conservative policies of the last decade. The Modus Operandi if both the LPC and CPC is to “give big business everything.” As Canada ha signed Trade Agreement after Trade Agreement, the lot of Canadians has increasingly plummeted. Canada has yet to come out ahead on any of them. And these secret agreements keep getting worse, with provisions that allow foreign corporations to overrule local governments on issues like protecting the environment. Maybe a multinational doesn’t care about clean water, but we humans can’t live without it. The China deal is set to run more than 30 years, and now the TPP doesn’t end, ever.
Both Liberals and Conservatives are on board with these agreements, but the NDP promises to scrap TPP. Yay.
And while the NDP is offering some good social programs, they are tippy toeing. $15 minimum wage sounds great, but if I’m not mistaken, that wouldn’t be applied across the board; but only for FEDERAL employees, and it will be phased in over time. When $15 an hour isn’t a wage large enough to lift Canadians out of poverty today, that is just too little too late.
Then, too, that $15 a day day care sounds good, but it too is going to be phased in, and will only help a limited number of Canadians.
The Fear Factor
The problem is that Mr. Harper, (like Mr. Hudak), makes a good boogeyman. It is easy to scare people into voting for *your* candidate when you can fan the flames of fear. That’s how strategic voting works. Has anyone selling strategic voting ever offered to support your candidate instead of their own?
Although strategic voting is always sold as the way you have to vote to make sure the boogeyman doesn’t win, if such strategies work, why is there always a worse boogeyman the next time?
There are plenty of good reasons to fear another Harper government, but there just isn’t going to be one. And everyone knows it, including Mr. Harper. When I was young, Brian Mulroney’s government was so reviled that after he passed the reins to Kim Campbell, the party was destroyed — reduced from a crushing majority to only TWO seats — by an election. But compared to Mr. Harper, Brian Mulroney was loved.
Kim Campbell was an unfortunate first female Prime Minister, but we could make up for that by installing Ms. May. Everyone likes Elizabeth May, even people who would never vote for her want to hear what she has to say. They say 80% of Canadians wanted to see her in the debates. But it was worth it to the “big boys” to keep her out anyway, because when Elizabeth may talks, people listen. Not just because she’s smart, or the best parliamentarian. People listen because what she says makes sense. It is, after all, easier to pretend the Green Party only cares about the environment if people don’t ever get to hear from the Green Party.
But Elizabeth May is hands down the best of the major party leaders, so you would thing that the Canadians who vote for the leader (which I am told is most of us) would be voting Green.
But people don’t vote Green. Not because they don’t think she would make an excellent Prime Minister, but because they don’t think she could get elected. And yet, the Green Party runs candidates across the country, so the possibility exists that she could become Prime Minister. All it will take is for enough eligible voters to vote for enough Green Party Candidates.
This year my husband has been running as a Green party Candidate here in Kitchener-Conestoga. Throughout the campaign I have had the opportunity to meet a great many Green party candidates, and I have been very impressed; the overall calibre of the Green Party Candidates I’ve met has been staggering. It may be because so many Canadians are engaging in politics like never before, simply because it is starting to come home to us how fragile our democracy is. Any of the Green Candidates I’ve met would be a credit to their constituents, and I believe many of them are exceptional.
Green Party policy is based on a solid bedrock of fiscal conservatism, even as it appears to be pie in the sky stuff. After all, none of the other major parties even mention poverty as a rule, let along roll out a plan to eliminate it. The problem isn’t so much that Canadians like poverty, but that people don’t believe eradicating it is possible. Even though there was a successful Liberal pilot project decades ago that demonstrated it can be done in a way that would make society stronger in many many ways. But none of the other major parties are selling it, so we think it can’t be possible. But the truth is, Canada is a rich country that could easily afford to eliminate poverty by implementing a Guaranteed Livable Income.
If it was such a good idea, you might wonder why we didn’t adopt Mincome in the 1970’s. That’s easy: for the same reason so many good things don’t get done in Canada: our unstable uncooperative electoral system. When your electoral system consists of alternating dictatorships, thinking tends to be very short term. In a winner-take-all electoral system the new king of the castle never implements the old king’s policies, so when the Liberals were voted out mincome was shelved. And no subsequent Liberal Government even considered revisiting it.
What nobody tells us is that the cost of implementing the Guaranteed Livable Income would be a tiny fraction of what we spend waging war. Maybe the cost of a single helicopter. But we all have our priorities, right?
All it takes is the political will.
So long as we believe we can’t vote for what we want, we will never get what we want.
The Real Way to Change
People have the idea that the only way to make sure we don’t elect Mr. Harper is by giving one party a majority government. That is simply not true. Although the NDP and Liberal Parties are happy we think this because people who might otherwise vote for what they want will be voting for the big party they think could win. The truth is that majority government is always the worst possible result for Canadians.
But we don’t need to replace a majority government with another majority government. All we have to do to move Mr. Harper out of 24 Sussex Frive is to unseat enough of the MPs in his party. There is even much less chance the Marxist-Leninist Party will form even a minority government than the Greens will. But if the Kitchener Centre ML Candidate defeats Stephen Woodworth, that’s one less Conservative seat in Parliament. Vote for the person or party that offers what you think is most important.
If you haven’t yet, please vote today. (And bring a friend.) Only you can decide who will best represent you in parliament. That’s who you should vote for.
Here’s hoping we all vote Green.